Currently reading: Price hike for used diesels as new car supply dries up

The powertrain may be on the way out, but the value of some models have risen by more than 10%

The values of some used diesel cars are actually increasing despite the fading appeal of the powertrain in the new car market, say leading vehicle valuation experts. 

In the first half of 2025, just 58,722 new diesels were registered, down 11.3% on 2024. This continues a decline that can be traced to 2017, amid the fallout from the Dieselgate scandal and concerns about future vehicle taxation and emissions penalties. 

Diesel’s days appear numbered. Only a few car makers still produce diesel models – among them Audi, BMW and JLR (especially with the Defender) – and other types, such as petrol, hybrid and battery-electric vehicles, are experiencing rising demand. 

For most diesel models, this is reflected in increased rates of depreciation, but, bucking this trend, some have actually increased in value over what they were worth a year ago. 

For example, according to Cap HPI, a three-year-old diesel Honda HR-V with 60,000 miles is worth 11.3% more today than the same model was at the same point last year. In addition, the value of an equivalent Mercedes CLS has risen 8% and a Ford Mondeo 6.5%. 

Explaining the figures, Dylan Setterfield, head of forecast strategy at Cap HPI, said: “There is still demand for diesel in the used market from both consumers  and dealers, with fuel economy continuing  to be a significant factor for high-mileage drivers. 

“New [diesel] car volumes have been decreasing for some time, and this is translating into reduced used car volumes. We expect these reductions to be partially offset by the ongoing reduction in consumer demand and that prices will behave similarly to petrol [car prices] in the next few years.” 

However, the market is experiencing wild valuation extremes and some models are instead depreciating at higher than expected rates compared with what they were worth last year. 

Those suffering the biggest falls in value include the Ssangyong Korando 2.2D, with a three-year-old example with 60,000 miles worth 24.5% less. An equivalent Vauxhall Astra is down 20.2% in value and a Range Rover Evoque down 12.7%. 

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These losses are atop the models’ regular year-on-year depreciation. Setterfield said: “The Korando’s falls seem to have been caused by uncertainty and confusion in the marketplace as the brand transitioned from Ssangyong to KGM. Astra diesels with above-average mileage are now suffering increased penalties, while the Evoque’s figure can be explained by an increase in used volumes following a shortage of supply.” 

Consumers unsure about buying a diesel are unlikely to be reassured by these wild extremes.

Fortunately, these cars aside, the bulk of the sector is actually quite stable, with the average three-year-old diesel worth just 2.1% less than its equivalent 12 months ago. The equivalent figure for a petrol car is 1.3% less. 

At 12 months and 20,000 miles, their positions are reversed, with the diesel worth 1.4% less and the petrol 1.6% less. 

Philip Nothard, insight director at Cox Automotive International, a vehicle auction and remarketing company, welcomed the return of stability to most areas of the diesel market. 

He said: “After the highs of the immediate post-Covid years, when even two- to four-year-old diesels were worth 73% of their new price and ones less than a year old 98%, order is returning to the market. In 2023, diesel values fell at a steeper rate than petrol as sentiment shifted to the latter and, thanks to tax changes, to some extent also to EVs. 

“The fall in the sales of new diesels that year means that today, there are only155,000 three-year-old diesels on the road. Values are sliding but just about holding firm, with two- to four-year-old diesels currently worth around 51% of their new price compared with petrol cars at 58%. Electric cars are worth around 36%.” 

The shortage of used diesels and the stability of their values are reflected on dealer forecourts. 

Motorpoint is a leading car supermarket and typically stocks around 5000 cars, most no older than four years. Currently, only around 350 of them are diesels and diesel hybrids. They include a 2023 Audi A4 35 TDI S Line S Tronic with 14,500 miles for £22,699 and a 2022 Ford Kuga 1.5 Ecoblue ST-Line X with 17,000 miles for £19,999. 

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Motorpoint Group CEO Mark Carpenter believes that although demand for diesels has fallen considerably, the declining number of new ones being produced means that used examples will soon be the only ones readily available to customers. 

However, he doesn’t expect that any future increase in demand for them will necessarily trigger a steep rise in their prices. 

He said: “While any uplift in demand for used diesel vehicles will have some impact on prices, with fewer new diesel cars on the road, used diesel stock will continue to get older, reducing its appeal for motorists wanting a nearly new car.”

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Chris C 6 August 2025

IMHO HVO diesel in a Euro 6 vehicle is remarkably clean, green, efficient and pretty carbon neutral (especially compared to EV's using electricity generated by fossil fuels) , but politicians will never backpedal far enough to agree. 

xxxx 6 August 2025

Never heard the burning diesel being described as Green and Clean before, if you sat in garage with the engine running you'd soon find out it wasn't Clean. 

As to ...compared to an EV running on fosil fuels, well over 50% of electricity created last year came from renewables. For cars plugged in overnight using the cheap rate the percentage is even higher.

I'm sure you'll agree.

DVB78 7 August 2025

what about the little child slaves in Africa and the environmental damage caused by mining all the lithium and other precious metals that go in EV's, all so that we can virtue signal!

DVB78 7 August 2025

recent research by the University of Southampton showed that tyre pollution from large heavy EV's actually EXCEED that of diesel cars in many cases!

 

Thekrankis 6 August 2025
Late 90’s and early Noughties diesels before the mass application of DPF, EGR and other nonsense are dead simple, reliable and go on forever. Many run to huge mileages and last for 20 years or more.

Modern diesels are no good by the second or third owner. Too complex, too troublesome and too expensive to repair.
In our haste to be green we have made modern cars throwaway disposables.
Not exactly a green policy. Governments to blame, not the manufacturers.
Cars should be run for 20 years but few will even make it to ten years old before they are too expensive to repair.
Add in other useless modern tech like wet belts, plastic water pumps, dry clutch automatics etc and no sane person will buy a ten year old 2025 car.

xxxx 6 August 2025
Thekrankis wrote:

.... In our haste to be green we have made modern cars throwaway disposables. ..... . Cars should be run for 20 years but few will even make it to ten years old before they are too expensive to repair. .....no sane person will buy a ten year old 2025 car.

Rubbish.... "few will even make it to ten years" modern, well equipment, efficent cars, especially petrol, on the main last 20 years (rust free). Compare a Mk2 Escort to Mk4 Focus.

Thekrankis 6 August 2025
…. before the Focus switched to wet belt EcoBoom engines…
xxxx 6 August 2025

Keep to the maintenence schedule and the Focus, like pretty much all cars, will make it past your ludicrous 'few will even make it to 10 years' comment.

Thekrankis 6 August 2025
Funny how Ford kept shifting the service parameters as their awful EcoBoom wet belt engines kept expiring.

Not to mention the high cost of belt changes.

There is a reason lots of cheap MK 4 Focuses are cluttering used car lots.

xxxx 6 August 2025

PSA too. Will still last longer your  'few cars will reach 10 years old'  rubbish statement.

jason_recliner 6 August 2025
Fuck diesel.