Currently reading: EVs and China-led tech shift troubling premium brands

Mainstream and Chinese brands' adoption of new tech and electric drivetrains poses trouble for premium giants

Porsche’s recent retreat back into the familiar realm of combustion engines raised a question that has been increasingly troubling European car makers: what does premium stand for in an electrified, digital age?

For many automotive planners at the beginning of this decade, electrification was going to be the springboard into a high-tech future where premium customers would pay more for electric rocketships gilded with digital delights.

However, since those heady days of 2021-2022, the pace in that arena hasn't been set by the high-end European brands but by mainstream Chinese brands, who are selling the dream for a whole lot less.   

“The definition of premium nowadays for the average consumer is starting to look much more fuzzy,” Andrew Bergbaum, global head of automotive for consultantcy AlixPartners, told Autocar. 

“If you're not in the industry and you're presented with a car that has similar horsepower, similar driving style, similar tech and comfortable seats, and you're not brand-specific, you’re going ask yourself why you would spend €20,000-30,000 more for what essentially looks like a similar product."

The problem is most acute in China, where home-grown brands are muscling in on the largest market for European premiums and hurting their sales. 

While car sales in China were up 10% in the first half of the year, BMW sales there were down 15%, Mercedes down 14%, Audi down 10%, JLR down 15% and Porsche down a painful 28%.

While their ICE products remain unchallenged, it’s very different when it comes to EVs.

“In the EV segment, Porsche was just way too expensive,” Patrick Hummel, lead automotive analyst at the bank UBS, told journalists on a recent call. “Chinese consumers don't really see the point of paying so much more for a Porsche.”

Lurking in one of the halls of the recent Munich motor show was the Chinese electric challenger the European premium brands all fear: the Xiaomi YU7, a high-tech, 780bhp, four-wheel-drive SUV that sells for the equivalent of £30,000 in its highest spec.

The new BMW iX3 unveiled at the show debuted cool technology like a car-width head-up display. However, 300 meters away in the same exhibition hall with the same panoramic display and much more beside was the YU7.

BMW has priced the iX3 from £58,755 in the UK. Its Chinese price has yet to be revealed, but the presence of the YU7 will surely knock it much lower.

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“That’s the pricing benchmark,” Hummel said. “BMW can't price the iX3 30-40% higher if they want to sell meaningful quantities.”

In Europe, the premium erosion hasn’t hit yet and the brand power of established names like BMW, Mercedes, Range Rover, Audi, Porsche and Volvo remains high.

The tech appeal of Chinese premium brands has been blunted among Europe’s older, more brand-loyal and less tech-led buyers. 

That has neutralised the advance of those competitors like Nio and Zeekr that have bitten chunks out of the market share of brands like BMW in China.

“Western premium markets have turned out to be very challenging for them,” Hummel said. “Compared to initial plans and expectations, they’ve had very little success, because there is still the buying argument of status and brand loyalty.”

The European premium incumbents have been seeing off rivals for years, and those in the second tier, such as Lexus, Alfa Romeo, Maserati, Genesis and DS, are still struggling to break through. 

New DS boss Xavier Peugeot recently batted away a question from Autocar as to whether the brand should be discontinued, given its recent slow sales. “The reason is simple: premium represents 25% of the volume in Europe and nearly 40% of the profits for a car manufacturer,” he said.

The premium share is even higher in the UK, at 28%, according to figures automotive lobby group the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders. That’s up from around 17% 20 years ago.

But China’s ability to lower prices and push technology boundaries is still threatening to damage what has been a highly successful business model in Europe. 

For example, premium brands are feeling the pressure to lower their own high build costs, which is starting to tell in some of their interiors' quality – usually a premium benchmark.

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On testing the petrol-powered BMW X3 launched earlier this year, Autocar remarked that the interior quality “feels like a step down from the previous generation”.

Then there’s the democratising effort of electric power, which can easily offer premium levels of performance and smoothness on a volume-priced car.

One Porsche 911 owner posted on the PistonHeads forum recently that a courtesy Taycan from his dealer “had little to differentiate itself in terms of drivetrain” from his own Tesla Model 3.

Even handling and suspension tuning, another core strength of premium brands, is becoming digitised. For example, Bosch’s latest system offers manufacturers controls to completely change the feel of the car via software alone, meaning that theoretically a future Kia could be made to drive in the same way as a BMW at the press of a screen button.

The switch to electric power for premium brands is also hurting residuals. The ability to command good second-hand prices is at the very core of the premium business model in that it lowers leasing costs and makes the cars very accessible to buyers.

In a recent survey of luxury buyers (ie Porsche, Bentley etc) by the consultancy McKinsey, the number-one reason cited for not switching to an EV was uncertainty about residuals amid the speed of battery and tech advances. 

“Contrary to common belief, concerns about charging availability did not rank highest, nor were respondents most likely to cite the emotional appeal of ICE vehicles,” McKinsey partner Michele Bertoncello wrote in the report. “The OEMs must take deliberate steps to address this concern.”

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